Valuation of Surrender Options Based of an Insured with Multi-morbidity
B. Mac-Issaka
Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana.
G. A. Okyere
Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana.
H. M. Kpamma
Department of Statistics, Bolgatanga Polytechnic, Ghana.
K. Boateng
Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana.
J. B. Achamfour *
Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana.
D. Kweku
Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Embedded in Life insurance contracts are surrender options and also path dependency. Surrender option stems from many reasons. Multi-morbidity increases the rate of mortality and a variety of adverse health outcomes which may lead to surrendering. Poverty levels coupled with social burdens can inform a multi-morbid person to surrender a life policy contract. The study seeks determine and compare valuation of options of a multi-morbid person surrendering. In line with this objective the multi-morbid survival rate of a policy holder was incorporated in the Black- Scholes model for option pricing. The solution to the model come with its own complexities, therefore the need to resort to numerical solutions for the option valuation. Further, a comparison is made of two finite difference algorithm in solving the proposed Black-Scholes equation; the Crank-Nicolson method and the Hopscotch method. Simulations of survival were performed tocompute the survival rate. Numerical solution to the Black-Scholes model and the proposed model indicates that the Crank-Nicolson method converges faster than the Hopscotch method for the Black-Scholes whiles the Hopscotch method converges faster than the Crank-Nicolson for the proposed modified Black-Scholes model. It was observed that the Hopscotch method converges faster as the multi-morbid survival rate decreases below the short rate of the Black-Scholes model.
Keywords: Multimorbidity, life insurance, black-Scholes, hopscotch, Crank-Nicolson, survival rates