Prediction for Modified Topp Leone-Chen Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censoring Scheme
G. R. AL-Dayian
Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch), Cairo, Egypt.
A. A. EL-Helbawy *
Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch), Cairo, Egypt.
N. T. AL-Sayed
Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch), Cairo, Egypt.
E. M. Swielum
Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch), Cairo, Egypt.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Prediction of future events on the basis of the past and present information is a fundamental problem of statistics, arising in many contexts and producing varied solutions. The predictor can be either a point or an interval predictor. This paper focuses on predicting the future observations from the modified Topp-Leone Chen distribution based on progressive Type-II censored scheme. The two-sample prediction is applied to obtain the maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian prediction (point and interval) for future order statistics. The Bayesian and E-Bayesian predictors are considered based on two different loss functions, the balanced squared error loss function; as a symmetric loss function and balanced linear exponential loss function; as an asymmetric loss function. The predictors are obtained based on conjugate gamma prior and uniform hyperprior distributions. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the theoretical results and an application using real data sets are used to demonstrate how the results can be used in practice.
Keywords: Modified Topp-Leone Chen distribution, progressive Type-II censored samples, balanced squared error loss function, balanced linear exponential loss function, two-sample prediction, maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian prediction, Markov Chain Monte Carlo method